SPDR Gold Trust ETF Seasonals Versus Chart Structure

The gold price and the  SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) continues to be situated in a  potentially pivotal position from both an intermediate term and long term basis. The question is whether bullish seasonal tendencies should be given more weight or the gold chart structure itself?  The 34 year seasonal tendency especially from mid September onwards … Read more

No Breakout Today

Today was very uninspiring for the bull case on many indices and in many different aspects.  Volume was lacking today in a big way.  Price conviction was lacking also.  There were also plenty of reversal hammers created which would be confirmed on a close below today’s price low. The Dow Jones Transports Average is showing … Read more

Today Might be the Break Out Day

Today may be the day that the bear market officially dies (in terms of technical analysis) as far as the SPY ETF is concerned.  Pre market right now the SPY is already up over 1% which puts it above the top boundary line of the large symmetrical triangle I wrote about yesterday. If the market … Read more

SPY ETF shows the Market is Still Coiling up in Symmetrical Triangle

The SPY ETF is still trading in a large trading range and is taking the shape of a symmetrical triangle.  Volume was still very light today and no real conviction in either direction. I still suspect that we are going to trade down once again to the apex of the triangle before making any firm … Read more

Sold Gold

I changed my mind about gold only a few days after my entry into DGP.  I am too nervous sitting right up here near the previous highs.  My weekly chart on GLD looks quite promising, but the problem is I am still somewhat unsure how gold will react to a new topside breakout in the … Read more

The Real Head and Shoulders Top The UUP ETF

There has been a lot of talk about the head and shoulders topping formation in the broad market indices in construction since November of 2009.  Head and shoulders patterns are reliable patterns but they are definitely not guaranteed.  Sometimes they do fail.  I believe this one will fail because it does not have enough symmetry … Read more