SP500 is on a Mission to Trendline

sp50020090717

I am starting to become OBSESSED with this monthly chart of the SP500 (Gee I need a doctor!). Ok I am just kidding, but still this monthly SP500 chart is very important for several reasons.

For starters, it defines in one clear view the entire bear market we have been in since 2007 and it shows with good clarity (the white down trendline) the defining line of this bear market and the hurdle that needs to be overcome to change the long term outlook.

After staring at this chart for a while I can tell you that my sense is that the white down trendline really looks like a magnet to me.  I really think we have a good shot at between 1100 to 1200 on the SP500.  As far as timing… hmm well maybe by early next year? Maybe a little bit sooner.

So far the MONTHLY price bar for July is looking pretty good.  Now if we can end the July Monthly price bar so that it looks similar to what is shown in the chart above then I think we could be looking at quite a running market into the end of this year.

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SPY ETF hits top of Narrow Channel

Trading Radio Click ArrowThe SPY took a shot at the top trendline of this narrow channel we have been in for a few weeks.  It did the attack on light volume and still finds itself within this down slanting channel. In my previous commentary I was talking about a different horizontal trading range (the white … Read more

SPY ETF Breaks back into Trading Range

Play Trading Radio (click blue arrow) Amazingly the SPY ETF had a nice upside move today and managed to get back inside the trading range that has been defined since May 7, 2009.  The volume was weak on the decline that we saw near the support of the trading range.  I had written previously about … Read more

SPY ETF Pierces Support

It is pretty clear at this point that the SPY ETF has pierced support which is also the lower end of the trading range we have been in since May. I mentioned a couple of days ago that we had a bullish spring in the SPY ETF based on volume.  Well as it turns out … Read more