As of today the weekly sp500 candlestick is displaying as a gravestone doji. This weekly candle has the potential to imply very bearish follow through action assuming we get a weekly close next week under this weeks low to confirm it. If the market manages to get a very strong rally tomorrow then it could … Read more
Only 45 minutes after my BOT short call signal I might have to flip flop and negate the signal. It all depends on how we close today. In a previous post I indicated that a close under 1120 on the sp500 would slip the market quite bearish. So far today the weakness is moderating quite … Read more
The sp500 Futures are down significantly this morning. It is looking like we will get a close under 1120 today, or at the very least some type of weak close. I have to switch to BOT short signal right now as of the open today. Momentum appears to have shifted from up to down and … Read more
I have got a bit of a dilemma on my hands. I have been preaching to the choir in recent days and weeks about how bullish the market looks and how it is going back up to the April 2010 highs etc etc. But after looking at the KBW Bank Index (BKX) and the Russell … Read more
With the fed decision out of the way, the market is only showing very limited weakness and it appears the squeeze that began yesterday is in continuation mode today. The persistence of the current rally brings on the temptation to think that it is unsustainable. But keep in mind that yesterday was a sign of … Read more
The SPY got a confirmed bullish break above the 113 resistance level. The volume on the SPY was the robust but by no means record volume. I would have liked to have seen a 320 million share day on the SPY ETF instead of 217 million. Still the SPY ETF did show a very strong … Read more
So far 2 hours before the close of session it looks like the sp500 and the SPY ETF wants to choose the bullish option. In my previous post I made the point that despite the potential for topping as of 9/17/2010, the market was not showing us a real confirmation of anything yet. Dojis and … Read more
I am about half way through reading the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefver which details in story form the trading skill and observations of Jesse Livermore. It is a truly fascinating read. What impresses me the most so far in this book is Livermore’s ability to trade with high confidence at … Read more
The Russell 2000 Index is going to show us the true direction next week. I find it very interesting how we closed the week today. Low volume, very narrow range, and no real clue about the markets intentions going into next week. I suspect that we will finally start to see some real volume again … Read more
Today was very uninspiring for the bull case on many indices and in many different aspects. Volume was lacking today in a big way. Price conviction was lacking also. There were also plenty of reversal hammers created which would be confirmed on a close below today’s price low. The Dow Jones Transports Average is showing … Read more