Weekly MACD on the SP500 Still Showing No Signs of Real Bearish Trend Yet

I continue to believe that it is a mistake to even THINK of going short until we start to see some early signs of a bearish weekly MACD downward cross.  At least up until last Friday, the weekly MACD has not moved into such a stance yet. It is going to take price closings on … Read more

US Dollar Index Drifting Down to Some Key Support Levels

The US Dollar Index keeps drifting downward as if it is on some sort of mission.  Clearly this has helped the broad market keep going UP as well as gold.  The popular story line on the US Dollar Index right now is that sentiment wise there are too many bears and hardly any bulls.  From … Read more

The Million Dollar Gold Trade

Is it possible to prepare for a trade 5 or 10 years ahead of time? It almost seems absurd to even think a few months out sometimes in the trading biz because of the constantly changing variables.  This is true for many individual stocks, but for larger markets and indices I like to try to … Read more

Travel Centers of America TA and NewCastle Investment Corp NCT

Once again the bulls completely own the show and gapped the market up today and closed very strong and on pretty healthy volume at least compared to what we were seeing before. I once again refer you to this chart of the SP500 that shows we still have some time left before we actually hit … Read more

Looking Once More at the Dow Jones Industrial Average and SP500 in 1975

I spent a bit of time again looking at comparison charts over the weekend between the mid 1970’s SP500 and DJIA and our current market. It really is quite a fascinating series of comparison charts when taken into context of the larger down trend lines that defined the historic bear market.  Perhaps the most interesting … Read more

I am Going to Run With the Bulls Again TA Travel Centers of America

Well for a little while anyway.  I am glad I finally recovered from my own personal ‘October scare’ watching the market last week and feel that I have at least half my sanity back now.  So I am gonna run with a bulls a bit more and see what I can find.

The bottom line is, if you show me a good chart whether it be a stock or an ETF, then it is worthwhile exploring if there is some potential regardless of what the rest of the market is doing.  It may mean that you have to use tighter stops to control risk, but might as well go with the predominant trend force.

A Stock is Never too High to Buy and Never Too Low to Sell

That is the quote from Jesse Livermore that I paraphrased a bit.  I don’t know the exact quote, but I am writing it again because I think it is a very important point.  But again, manage risk prudently and use tighter stops and closely defined entries.

Buying stocks ‘high’ is also referred to as ‘momentum trading’.  I believe statistically it may produce more winning trades than any other method for the simple reason that you are making trades along side the predominant force in the market and in many cases that force is likely to continue.

In the past I used to be afraid to trade momentum because I could not remove the blockage in my mind how scary it is to ‘buy high’.  Not anymore.

So that brings me to TA Travel Centers of America.ta20091009

Read more