BOT Long on sp500 at 1294

Might as well switch to the BOT long signal on the sp500 now even thought I am very late on the bounce from the large swing trading range. There is a daily bullish triple P on the macd histogram although still unconfirmed.  Honestly I should wait for confirmation so I am being aggressive switching to … Read more

Death Spiral for the Dollar Below 71

A death spiral would occur for the US Dollar index below the 71 range in my opinion.  Currently the dollar appears to still have broken down out of a very large symmetrical triangle formation.  It is debatable exactly which line marks the lower boundary of the triangle formation, but the current monthly chart of the … Read more

Important Long Term Ultra Bearish Scenario for sp500

The chart you are about to see below may be one of the most important sp500 charts I have ever created with possible dramatic implications for the next 5 to 10 years.  This long term chart is much different than the other longer term multi year charts because this one shows a down trending channel.  My previous multi year chart shows a massive horizontal channel which is still valid.  But the horizontal multi year channel implies a simple trading range instead of a mega bear channel.

The very long term chart of the sp500 on the yearly basis shows that there exists the possibility that we are not hitting the top portion of a mega yearly channel right on the Marty Armstrong Cycle turn date and that this turn could mark the beginning of a multi year down move back to the bottom of the channel.

If true then it would put the sp500 eventually near 450 by 2016?  That is an extremely rough guess.

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BOT Short Signal at 1310

I am putting the BOT short signal back on again on the sp500 at 1310.  The bounce is not arriving and I would rather put the signal on now.  Whether we bounce 10 or 20 sp points from here seems to be a mute point for now. Yesterday was a HUGE sign of weakness and … Read more